Fuel Oil News

Fuel Oil News June 2014

The home heating oil industry has a long and proud history, and Fuel Oil News has been there supporting it since 1935. It is an industry that has faced many challenges during that time. In its 77th year, Fuel Oil News is doing more than just holding

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www.fueloilnews.com | FUEL OIL NEWS | JUNE 2014 21 implementation has been reasonably good," said NEFI President and CEO Michael Trunzo. "We've had a lot of input and the CFTC has been willing to listen. They do understand the impor- tance of the constituents that CMOC represents, and while not every rule has been exactly as we would like it we think the market has taken a step in the right direction for transparency and we have a much better sense of who the players are in the marketplace." Cota sees the clearing function as the most important element that has been put in place to date. "Everyone made a big deal out of transparency so they created swap execution facilities which report what the deals are and, more importantly, guarantee the other side of the bet. If I, as Sean Cota Oil, wanted to buy heating oil contracts on the NYMEX exchange and the seller of those contracts was Fly-By-Night Oil Company, the exchange does two things. First, it reports the settlement price that we came up with through the exchange and it also guarantees that if Fly-By-Night Oil flies by night and disappears the exchange will deliver on that contract [for a margin fee]. So you're going to take a look at the credit risk of the individual, the market and price it accordingly. That's what the bank should be doing. So now they have a way of making money doing what they should be doing instead of betting against their accounts. And because it's all going to be visible, if there's manipulation in these markets and it's going to be visible you might as well get out of it now before it comes to the light of day." This already seems to be having an impact on the market dynamics that developed post 2000. "Morgan Stanley was traditionally the biggest holder of oil in the world in a vari- ety of businesses that they either owned or had a controlling interest in such as TransMontaigne," Cota said. "They had Morgan Stanley Oil Company which they did a lot of their hedging with, there was Morgan Stanley Shipping and then their commodity trading unit. They put a lot of those things on the block. An exchange provides transparency so that you can see what's going on. If people know who is making a bad bet, they will gang up against him—because it's a ruth- less market—and take him out. If it's in an opaque market you can't tell, don't notice it and you can't find out if there's a rational or irrational reason." So What NoW? As noted, there have been some signif- icant regulatory successes and apparently those are already bearing fruit. However, Fuels

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