Good Fruit Grower

March 1

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Imports of fresh apples by Indonesia, India, Taiwan and Thailand, 1993-2010. 12- 10- 8- 6- 4- 2- 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 01993 Bangladesh, the prices of most imports may be too low for Washington exporters to sell there at a profit. Some markets may be more ready for higher-priced or specialty products than others. Even in higher-priced markets, there will be stiff challenges from competitors like China, Chile, New Zealand, South Africa, France, and Italy. Success for exporters will depend on: ��� how well they adapt their products, pricing, and packaging to the changing requirements of these very different markets, and ��� how effectively they promote their products as these markets become increasingly discriminating. The key step in making forecasts was to measure the historic relationships between various explanatory factors and actual imports of each fruit in each country. Previous studies have described factors associated with increased import demand, including rising incomes, the emergence of a middle class, retail modernization, increased urbanization, cultural values, positive or negative attitudes to trade by country leaders, trade barriers, etc. Demand relationships are also affected by changes in exchange rates and domestic inflation. For many countries and fruits, per capita imports were strongly influenced by average import prices and per capita GDP after adjusting for exchange rate , changes and domestic inflation. The measured Asia���s apple imports 40-LB BOX EQUIVALENTS (millions) M ore information on the study is available on the Web site www.e-belrose.com or by sending an e-mail to belrose@pullman.com. SOURCE: Desmond O���Rourke, Belrose, Inc. relationships were then used to forecast per capita import demand for each fruit and each country in 2020 at different rates of growth of real per capita GDP The . United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization���s population forecasts for 2020 were used to forecast import volume. ��� A Growing Legacy Since 1816 Make sure you���re ready for spring! We increased our production this year, so many of our most popular varieties are still available. Call 800-435-8733 today to guarantee best selection! Stark Bro���s Nurseries & Orchards Co. www.goodfruit.com GOOD FRUIT GROWER MARCH 1, 2013 37

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