IDA Universal

April/May 2025

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approximately $28 billion worth of U.S. goods and Canada to respond with tariffs on $29.8 billion worth of American exports. e tariffs—initially threatened to go as high as 50%—are expected to further push up costs for aermarket components. Recent data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Mineral Commodity Summaries highlights the historical trends of steel production and import reliance. Over the past three decades, U.S. steel production has fluctuated, with major disruptions occurring during the Global Financial Crisis of 2009, where production dropped to 59.4 million tons. While production rebounded in 2012-2014 and 2018-2019, it has not returned to the peak levels seen between 1997-2000 or 2004-2007. A correlation analysis of net import reliance versus domestic steel production suggests that increased reliance on imports does not negatively impact domestic production; in fact, the data shows a slight positive correlation (r = 0.185). is challenges the argument that steel tariffs will protect U.S. manufacturers. Instead, history suggests that tariffs will primarily result in higher steel prices, placing downstream manufacturers at a competitive disadvantage compared to global peers in Japan, South Korea, and the EU. e ripple effect of these cost increases will likely be felt throughout the aermarket industry, making equipment parts more expensive and putting pressure on businesses that rely on affordable materials to remain competitive. Inventory Shortages e global supply chain landscape has faced significant disruptions in recent years, resulting in widespread inventory shortages. A complex mix of factors, including labor shortages, geopolitical challenges, and surging demand, has made it increasingly difficult for distributors to maintain the adequate inventory levels necessary for smooth operations. ese constraints don't just affect businesses at the distribution level; they trickle down to end-users, causing potential downtime and operational inefficiencies. For distributors, managing inventory has become a delicate balancing act. When products are out of stock, end-users experience delays that can disrupt operations, leading to increased costs and lost revenue. In industries where downtime is critical—such as manufacturing, healthcare, and infrastructure development—inventory shortages can have severe consequences, further complicating the issue. To navigate these challenges, businesses must adopt proactive and strategic approaches to ensure they can continue to meet demand while minimizing disruptions. One of the most effective ways to mitigate risks in the face of supply chain disruptions is to diversify suppliers. By working with multiple suppliers across different regions, distributors can reduce their reliance on any single source. is helps to spread the risk associated with localized disruptions, such as natural disasters, labor strikes, or political instability. A diversified supplier base provides a buffer against unforeseen events that could otherwise result in stockouts. Accurate demand forecasting is essential in managing inventory effectively, particularly in times of uncertainty. By leveraging data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI)-driven forecasting tools, distributors can better predict potential shortages and adjust procurement strategies accordingly. ese technologies analyze historical data, market trends, and even real-time supply chain information to provide more accurate and timely forecasts. With this insight, businesses can optimize their inventory levels and make more informed decisions to stay ahead of demand. In times of disruption, strong, transparent relationships with suppliers can make a world of difference. Open lines of communication allow businesses to gain better insights into potential supply chain challenges and identify opportunities IDA Universal April - May 2025 12

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