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Vol. 24, No. 10 1030 W. Higgins Road, Suite 230 Park Ridge, IL 60068 www.geoplace.com Integrated Content EDITOR, GEOWORLD, GEOPLACE.COM AND GEOREPORT Todd Danielson, tdanielson@geoplace.com CHIEF NEWS CORRESPONDENT L. Scott Tillett EDITORIAL AND SOCIAL MEDIA ASSISTANT Kelly Thomas GeoTec Event CONFERENCE SHOW MANAGER Katie Smith, ksmith@m2media360.com CONFERENCE PROGRAM MANAGER Todd Danielson, tdanielson@geoplace.com Contributing Editors Peter Batty, Joseph K. Berry, Ron Bisio, Mark Dolezel, Ron Lake, Janet Jackson, Mark Reichardt, Erik Shepard, Daniel Sui, Nigel Waters, Patrick Wong Editorial Advisory Board Dan Adams TOMTOM Chris Andrews AUTODESK INC. Peter Batty UBISENSE Jack Dangermond ESRI Charles H. Drinnan EWAM ASSOCIATES Jim Farley ORACLE CORP. William D. Goran CENTER FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF SUSTAINABILITY INNOVATIONS Connie Gurchiek TRANSCEND SPATIAL SOLUTIONS William Holland REDGIANT ANALYTICS INC. Anup Jindal RMSI Roy Kolstad NAVTEQ Ron Lake GALDOS SYSTEMS David Linden SAIC Xavier Lopez ORACLE CORP. Dale Lutz SAFE SOFTWARE Carey Mann BENTLEY SYSTEMS INC. Carl Reed OPEN GEOSPATIAL CONSORTIUM INC. Walter S. Scott DIGITALGLOBE David Sonnen IDC Mladen Stojic ERDAS INC. Production PRODUCTION DIRECTOR Mary Jo Tomei, mtomei@m2media360.com ART DIRECTOR Kathleen Sage, ksage@m2media360.com List Rental, Reprint Marketing Services Cheryl Naughton, cnaughton@m2media360.com M2MEDIA360 CEO/PRESIDENT Marion Minor VICE PRESIDENT, FINANCE AND OPERATIONS Gerald Winkel VICE PRESIDENT, CIRCULATION AND COLLATERAL SERVICES Joanne Juda-Prainito PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS DIRECTOR Mary Jo Tomei GeoWorld is published monthly by M2MEDIA360, a Bev-Al Communications Company. Authorization to photocopy items for educational, internal or personal use, or specific clients, is granted by M2MEDIA360, provided appropriate fees are paid prior to photocopying items, please contact Cheryl Naughton, cnaughton@m2media360.com M2MEDIA360 1030 W. Higgins Road, Suite 230 Park Ridge, IL 60068 Phone: (847) 720-5600 Fax: (847) 720-5601 e-mail: tdanielson@geoplace.com Web: www.geoplace.com CIRCULATION: For subscription inquiries and customer service questions please call 845-856-2229. © 2011 BY M2MEDIA360 All rights reserved. ISSN# 0897-5507 Canadian GST# 82917 9944 RT 0001 Canadian CPM #1528653 Single Copy Price U.S $8.00, Single Copy Price Canada/Mexico/Foreign $12.00 GeoWorld Services GeoWorld Online Visit GeoWorld at GeoPlace.com for online reviews, features, news, classified ads and event listings. GeoMarketplace The GeoMarketplace resource directory provides an easy means to connect with product and services vendors. Indexed listings of imagery, data, data conversion, hardware, mapping/surveying, mobile mapping, software development and Web services will appear monthly. Contact Cheryl Naughton at cnaughton@m2media360.com for more information. Reprints Order custom reprints of GeoWorld columns and features on glossy magazine stock in black and white or full color, individualized with company logos, photos or advertising insertions. For reprints, please contact: Contact Cheryl Naughton by phone, 678-292-6054, fax 360-294-6054, or e-mail cnaughton@m2media360.com. Advertising To advertise in GeoWorld, contact Craig Miller, worldwide advertising accounts manager [213-596-7228, cmiller@m2media360.com]. Subscriptions To order a GeoWorld subscription, visit the magazine's Web site (www.geoplace.com). To report an address change or correct circulation problems, contact Customer Service [845-856-2229]. List Rental Order custom mailing lists from GeoWorld if you are looking for professionals in the geospatial industry working with GIS applications in government, utilities, education and the private sector. Contact Cheryl Naughton by phone, 678-292-6054, fax 360-294-6054, or e-mail cnaughton@m2media360.com. All names are proven direct-mail responsive, and they are all selectable by title and business. One phone call will guide you toward the best list choices for your needs. FROM THE ARCHIVES GeoWorld magazine has built a reputation as a trusted source of information with consistently forward-looking and authorita- tive content. We were the first publication to address the needs of the GIS user community, and we have enjoyed much success as the industry "found its footing" and expanded into a wide range of disciplines. We feel lucky to have served a dedicated readership for more than two decades. The content of each GeoWorld issue has been posted online at www.geoplace.com since 1996. This rich resource provides perspective on technology development and clear relevance to the challenges faced today.To highlight some of the infor- mational resources available, each issue will feature archived stories relating to that issue's cover story. Simply click on "Articles & Archives" at the top of the menu bar on GeoPlace.com, and type in a few of the key words from the fol- lowing list to find the full article on our site. October 2010 GEOINT: The Foundation for Layered Intelligence By John Olesak October 2010 Helping Haiti: Disaster-Response Lab Manages Aerial Data for Earthquake Relief By Matteo Luccio October 2009 A Mapping Firewall: Modeling and Visualizations Assess Wildfire Threats, 18 20 BY JOHN OLESAK BY DAVID BUCKLEY, JOSEPH K. BERRY AND JASON BATCHELOR The Foundation for Layered Intelligence Modeling and Visualizations Assess Wildfire Threats, Risks and Economic Exposure G E O W O R L D / O C T O B E R 2 O 1 0 buildings and critical infrastructure lost, and significant amounts of commodity agriculture ruined. Suppression costs at the federal level have surpassed $1 billion annually for the last several years, and state and local costs are believed to be more than double that. The consequences of wildfires have never been I greater as more people move into wildfire-prone areas. And there's an increasing need for fuel treatments, mitigation planning, prevention awareness and recov- ery preparedness to reduce wildfire risk and impacts to these communities. But where is the greatest risk? What are the poten- tial economic, social and environmental impacts? What and where are mitigation actions most needed? How can alternatives be quantified, compared and prioritized? Are we spending our budgets effectively and efficiently? This article focuses on the utility of geotechnology, map-analysis procedures, and Web-based visualization G E O W O R L D / O C T O B E R 2 O O 9 n the 2007 fire season, San Diego County alone saw 360,000 acres burned, more than $1 billion in losses, more than 1,200 homes destroyed, many and delivery options to identify areas of greatest jeop- ardy as well as quantify the dollar impact of wildfire loss and proposed mitigation efforts. Wildfire Threat and Risk Modeling Previous wildfire risk models developed a relative scale, such as the low, medium, high and extreme fire-danger levels seen at the entrances of national forests. Although this scale is useful for informing the public and guiding broad fire planning, it doesn't fully express wildfire risk. Comprehensive risk modeling involves three distinct elements: 1. Wildfire Threat—estimating the probability and intensity of a wildfire occurring at a location. 2. Wildfire Effects—quantifying the impact of the potential loss. 3. Wildfire Risk—combining the threat and effects into a measure of probable loss over time. The Wildfire Threat portion integrates numerous mapped data layers such as weather factors, histori- cal fire occurrence, surface and canopy fuels, terrain, and suppression effectiveness based on historic Risks and Economic Exposure By David Buckley, Joseph K. Berry and Jason Batchelor 2 GEO W ORLD / O CTOBER 2O11 Homeland Security Disaster Mapping